Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Food prices may rise by up to 20%, warns UN

Food prices may rise by up to 20%, warns UN

Poor harvests put global food reserves under pressure,
with African and Asian countries likely to be worst hit



Prices of wheat, maize and many other foods traded internationally
have risen by up to 40% in just a few months.
Photograph: Simon Maina/AFP/Getty Images



The UN today warned that food prices could rise by 10%-20% next year after poor harvests and an expected rundown of global reserves. More than 70 African and Asian countries will be the worst hit, said the Food and Agricultural Organisation in its monthly report.

In its gloomiest forecast since the 2007/08 food crisis, which saw food riots in more than 25 countries and 100 million extra hungry people, the report's authors urged states to prepare for hardship.

"Countries must remain vigilant against supply shocks," the report warned. "Consumers may have little choice but to pay higher prices for their food. The size of next year's harvest becomes increasingly critical. For stocks to be replenished and prices to return to more normal levels, large production expansions are needed in 2011."

Prices of wheat, maize and many other foods traded internationally have risen by up to 40% in just a few months. Sugar, butter and cassava prices are at 30-year highs, and meat and fish are both significantly more expensive than last year.

Food price inflation – fuelled by price speculation, the searing heatwave in Russia in the summer and heavy trading on futures markets – is now running at up to 15% a year in some countries. According to the UN, international food import bills could pass the $1tn mark, with prices in most commodities up sharply from 2009.

Extreme volatility in the world markets has taken the UN by surprise and forced it to reassess its forecasts for next year. "Rarely have markets exhibited this level of uncertainty and sudden turns in such a brief period of time. World cereal production this year, which is currently put at 2,216m tonnes, is 2% below 2009 levels, 63m tonnes less than the forecast reported in June," said the authors.

"Contrary to earlier predictions, world cereal production is now forecast to contract by 2% rather than to expand by 1.2%, as anticipated in June," they said.

Global food reserves, which currently stand at around 74 days, are now expected to decrease significantly in the next few months. "Cereal reserves may drop by around 7%, barley nearly 35%, maize 12% and wheat 10%. Only rice reserves are expected to increase, by 6% next year," said the report.

Much now hangs on next year's harvests, it said. "International prices could rise even more if production next year does not increase significantly – especially in maize, soybean and wheat. Even the price of rice, the supply of which is more adequate than other cereals, may be affected if prices of other major food crops continue climbing."

But food analysts said the prospects for a bumper world harvest next year were slim. "2011 will not be a good harvest. The condition of winter wheat crops is not good. Neither the US nor Russia are expecting good harvests," said Lester Brown, founder of the Washington-based Worldwatch Institute.

"The poorest will suffer the most because they feel the effect of price rises directly. In the US and Europe, wheat may only make up 10% of the price of a loaf of bread."

Twitter’s Official Analytics Product Has Arrived

Twitter’s Official Analytics Product Has Arrived


By  Adam Ostrow


Twitter has started inviting a select group of users to test a new analytics product, Mashable has learned. Such a product has been rumored for some time, and a Twitter executive said earlier this year that Analytics would debut by the end of 2010.

With Twitter Analytics, users will be able to see a plethora of data about their account; for example, information about which tweets are most successful, which tweets caused people to unfollow, and who the most influential users are that reply and retweet their messages.

In the images below, you can see how some of this data is charted. A bar graph over 6-hour increments shows you mentions, follows and unfollows, for example, and you can filter tweets by categories that are defined as “best,” “good,” and “all.”

In what will no doubt come as a blow to the third-party vendors that are already providing similar tools, we’re hearing that the product will be free and that Twitter has no immediate plans to charge.

We’re working to gather more information, but we may hear more about it later this afternoon, when Twitter’s Evan Williams takes the stage at the Web 2.0 Summit in San Francisco. Stay tuned.


Screenshots



























B.o.B - "Don't Let Me Fall" [Music Video]

B.o.B - "Don't Let Me Fall" [Music Video]





 


B.o.B

Bobby Ray returns with a hot new music video for "Don't Let me Fall"



B.o.B reflects on his rise to the top in the Ethan Lader-directed video for "Don't Let Me Fall," the fourth single from his debut album The Adventures of Bobby Ray, which combines old footage with newly shot scenes. Bobby Simmons strums his guitar in the gravity-defying clip, shot on the sidewalks of downtown Denver and at Colorado's open-air Red Rocks Amphitheatre. Get your back up off the wall below.



Thursday, October 28, 2010

'Time Traveler' Spotted in 1928 Chaplin Film

'Time Traveler' Spotted in 1928 Chaplin Film




Of course, it could just be another crazy old wino talking into a shoe...

Could 'time traveller' caught on film in The Circus mean Future Day has arrived?





























Chaplins Time Traveler




  • Scene at movie premiere in 1928





  • Found in extras on Chaplin DVD





  • Is it a time traveller?






  • MAYBE Future Day has arrived after all.

    This week, the makers of Back To The Future kicked off celebrations marking the 25th anniversary of the release of the original movie starring Michael J Fox.


    In the same week, an Irish independent filmmaker has gone public with what he says is footage of a time traveller caught walking through a scene on a recent DVD release of Charlie Chaplin's 1928 film, The Circus.

    "I believe I'm the first person to find something quite unusual from a bit of film footage from 1928," Mr Clarke says.

    The scene can be found in the extras menu in Documents, under The Hollywood Premiere.
    It's not in the movie - it's real footage and it features real members of the public in 1928.
    Or does it, asks Mr Clarke, who spotted a mysteriously dressed stranger walking past the camera talking into what he says can only be a mobile phone.

    "The only conclusion I can come to - which sounds absolutely ridiculous I'm sure, to some people - is it's a time traveller," he says.

    "When you're looking at a bit of 1928 footage with an old woman ... on a mobile phone, it's kind of strange. You can't explain it."

    Now the YouTube footage has passed the half-a-million mark, plenty have tried.

    YouTube user "Barnwash" claims Australian police tested the first true two-way radio in 1928 and that maybe the woman was security in disguise.

    Others claim it was a type of hearing aid.

    Most of the naysayers hang their arguments on the fact that there were no phone towers or satellites in 1928, but they are quickly shot down by the believers who say those who possess time travel tech surely could circumvent this.

    There's also plenty of speculation about the mysterious figure herself ... if it is indeed a woman.
    "Did anyone notice how odd his feet looked," midwestwoman asked. "Thick ankles and then super thin feet?

    They don't look right. Also her/his hand seemed abnormally large."

    "Who is to say that time travel is not an 'interesting vacation' that people commonly take in the future to live/experience favorite time periods."

    Who indeed? Certainly not Doc Brown, who some say bears a spooky resemblance to the "woman" in the footage...

    Son of Jam Master Jay Follows in Dad's Footsteps

    Son of Jam Master Jay Follows in Dad's Footsteps




    NBCNewYork gets inside look into unsolved murder of pioneering rapper

    

    View more news videos at: http://www.nbcnewyork.com/video.


    It's "Tricky," but if you find yourself swaying your head to a familiar beat from a DJ with a familiar look, we suggest you do a double take.  

    The son of Jam Master Jay is now spinning throughout New York City and he goes by the name DJ Jam Master J'son.

    Jam Master Jay was the one-man band for RUN DMC -- a DJ with scratches and beats that kept the party going while the Rev. Run and DMC unloaded rhymes. Yet the pioneering rapper encountered the same fate as the greats after him like Tupac Shakur and the Notorious B.I.G.

    Jam Master Jay was murdered eight years ago and his killer remains at large. He was gunned down in his Queens studio off Merrick Boulevard.

    "To the world, Jam Master Jay was lost. To me, I lost my Dad," says Jason Mizell Jr.
    "Witnesses were very afraid of the bat, some didn't want to cooperate, some did, but they were very afraid to cooperate," says former NYPD Detective Derrick Parker of the investigation into the still unsolved murder.

    Parker wrote a book about the murder from his time working with Hip-Hop related crimes. He took NBCNewYork back to the scene of the crime: the second floor studio of 90-10 Merrick Boulevard.
    "Apparently who ever was up there that buzzed those people in knew who they were letting in," said Parker, who like other investigators believes Jay knew his killer.

    Jay's studio has been converted into the Hall of Fame studio owned by a new company that has kept Jay's legacy alive with painted murals and several RUN DMC memorabilia that decorate the walls.
    Jay was playing video games with a friend when the killer walked into the studio with an accomplice and shot Jay point blank.

    Police sources tell NBCNewYork witnesses have not come forward out of fear for their own lives. At least two people in the studio at the time of the murder saw the killer's face, yet no one will point a finger. The motive is still unknown, but investigators have discounted an early theory that the killing was based on a hip-hop dispute.

    "It messed me up for a long time, actually," says Mizell Jr., who now doesn't dwell on his father's death.

    He says if he had five minutes with his Dad he would ask him about music, not murder.

    "How much (sic) hours did you literally spend staring at a turntable? My father didn't mess up ever -- that's pretty strange he was like a computer with the turntable."



    Monday, October 25, 2010

    Vladimir Putin's drug czar gets heated over California's Weed Legalization and Afghan poppies.

    Interview: Viktor Ivanov

    Putin's drug czar gets heated over California pot and Afghan poppies.




    Russia's top drug official warned in an interview with Foreign Policy on Friday of what he called the "catastrophic" consequences of marijuana legalization measures like California's upcoming ballot initiative, saying darkly that widespread legal drug use would produce "psychiatric deviations" and will only encourage drug addiction.

    Viktor Ivanov, a former KGB officer and prominent member of Prime Minister Vladimir Putin's inner circle, even took the unusual step of going to Los Angeles earlier this week to "conduct a campaign against legalizing marijuana in California," as he said in the interview. He also came to Washington this week to meet with U.S. drug czar Gil Kerlikowske and U.S. Afghan envoy Richard Holbrooke to discuss anti-poppy measures in Afghanistan and call for an intensified program of aerial eradication.

    The United States has largely abandoned eradicating the poppy crop in favor of a narrower strategy focusing on cutting off funding to the Taliban and cracking down on traffickers. Ivanov says that isn't enough to counter the flow of heroin into Russia, which kills tens of thousands of users every year. 

    But California's laxity, it seems, was particularly startling to him. "I hadn't known about it before and I was absolutely shocked when I was in the city and saw these posters saying that you can get marijuana for medical purposes," he said. He met with Los Angeles mayor Antonio Villaraigosa and Sheriff Leroy Baca to voice Russia's opposition to the measure. Noting that U.S. President Barack Obama has also expressed his opposition to legalization, Ivanov described it as "one of the cases where Russia and the U.S. agree completely."

    He continued: "I'm afraid that the consequences of [legalization] will be catastrophic. Even the Netherlands, where they sell marijuana legally in coffee shops, they are now reversing on this. Because there, and everywhere, drug addiction is becoming stronger and the people who are addicted develop psychiatric deviations. They say, 'What does God do when he wants to punish a person? He deprives him of his mind.'"

    Ivanov, who served in Afghanistan with the KGB during the Soviet Union's war in the 1980s expressed skepticism about the war effort in Afghanistan. "During the last five years the perception of the foreign powers by the local population has changed," he said. "Now they take it as a military occupation of their country."  

    This was Ivanov's sixth meeting with his U.S. counterpart, Kerlikowske. In this meeting, Ivanov sought to push the United States to resume aerial eradication campaigns against poppy growing in Afghanistan. He thinks the United States should use "methods of defoliation similar to what's used in Colombia."

    According to Russian figures, heroin, nearly all of it from Afghanistan, kills 30,000 Russians every year, Ivanov said. He also believes that the Central Asian states between Russia and Afghanistan are being "destroyed from the inside" by the violence and crime associated with the drug trade.

    While Ivanov stressed that coordination with the U.S. side is improving, he also noted "American officials are quite disciplined and they always stick with the strategy as it's been laid out."

    That seems to apply in particular to the State Department. After a meeting last year with Holbrooke -- an outspoken skeptic of the utility of poppy eradication -- Ivanov said that the envoy had "confirmed our fears that they are not prepared to destroy the production of drugs in Afghanistan." This time, Ivanov noted that, as "[Holbrooke] was a bit short of time, we started the meeting with him; then he handed us to his deputy." He said the two still don't completely see eye to eye.

    "The argument that now NATO and Holbrooke are using is that if we destroy poppy crops it will deprive peasants of their livelihood. It sounds so touching that they're taking care of the peasants, but it's not to be taken seriously," he says. "Those peasants do not profit from poppy. They make at most $70 per year.
    Those who profit from it are the landlords living in Europe and American and the Gulf countries. If we could give the land back to the Afghan government and provide these peasants with wheat, they could easily make their $70 a year growing wheat, not poppy."

    Ivanov also said reports of progress on shutting down opium laboratories have been exaggerated.

    "One of the results we discussed is a 92 percent increase in the number of laboratories destroyed. From the point of view of arithmetic, this is the case. In reality it looks a little bit different." According to Ivanov, the number of identified drug laboratories operating in Afghanistan has actually increased from 175 in 2008 to 425 today. The real number is likely much higher. He described the efforts to crack down on laboratories so far as a "drop in the ocean."

    According to Ivanov, Russian authorities have passed on the location -- including GPS coordinates -- of several known Afghan drug laboratories to the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration. But because resources for drug eradication are controlled by NATO forces, no steps have been taken to eradicate them, he claims.

    Ivanov said he also has doubts about the very premise of the war in Afghanistan. "[In 2001] it was explained that the Taliban was a terrorist organization and that's why [the invasion] was necessary. Now many years later, it turns out that there's a so-called moderate Taliban -- moderate terrorists -- who can be reintegrated back into power. Does that mean we made a mistake nine years ago and all this time we have been correcting it?"

    Ivanov suggested that the invasion of Afghanistan might have been partly motivated Western companies seeking to exploit Central Asian energy resources. "If we look back before the invasion, starting in 1997, a number of American companies were negotiating with the Taliban about putting in a pipeline in Afghanistan ... bringing gas from Turkmenistan south toward India. There were negotiations in Kabul and Houston and Washington. In 2001, those negotiations ended in a deadlock because the American side wanted a bigger pipeline, while the Taliban wanted smaller pipes in order to provide smaller towns and villages with gas. From the American side, the negotiator was Unocal and the negotiator from that company was the employee of that company, Hamid Karzai."

    It has been suggested several times, notably in Michael Moore's documentary Fahrenheit 9/11, that Karzai may have once worked as a consultant for Unocal, but both the company and the Afghan president deny any connection. 

    Despite his staunch support for anti-drug measures, Ivanov also said that efforts so far have not borne much fruit and might in fact be making the problem worse. 

    "In this one single location, 95 percent of global heroin production is taking place," he told FP. "Ironically, it's the same place where the efforts of the global community are concentrated. It's like a surgeon who has decided to treat one organ but as a result has cut up all the organs around it."

    Sunday, October 10, 2010

    Ginuwine - What Could've Been

    Ginuwine - "What Could've Been"




    LaShae' Boone - Fall In Love

    LaShae' Boone - Fall In Love






    Fall In Love FREE Download Link

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